Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002855 0.003060 0.003282 0.003542 0.003842 0.004179 0.004591
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002570 0.002848 0.003169 0.003575 0.004083 0.004713 0.005583
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002334 0.002646 0.003023 0.003524 0.004194 0.005097 0.006488
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002223 0.002572 0.003010 0.003623 0.004499 0.005790 0.008054
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002123 0.002497 0.002982 0.003689 0.004760 0.006479 0.009935
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001997 0.002374 0.002873 0.003622 0.004805 0.006826 0.011379
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001871 0.002240 0.002735 0.003493 0.004727 0.006933 0.012373
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001798 0.002171 0.002681 0.003481 0.004834 0.007409 0.014657
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001668 0.002016 0.002495 0.003248 0.004530 0.006996 0.014101
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001623 0.001978 0.002472 0.003268 0.004671 0.007544 0.017158
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001600 0.001968 0.002489 0.003351 0.004941 0.008470 0.023268
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001560 0.001930 0.002462 0.003359 0.005067 0.009104 0.029912
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001534 0.001913 0.002468 0.003429 0.005345 0.010320 0.048267
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001490 0.001869 0.002430 0.003421 0.005459 0.011149 0.076691
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001438 0.001810 0.002366 0.003358 0.005446 0.011574 0.116807
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001421 0.001802 0.002381 0.003443 0.005786 0.013537 2.200024
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001400 0.001787 0.002383 0.003500 0.006079 0.015672 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001357 0.001737 0.002325 0.003438 0.006055 0.016319 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001306 0.001673 0.002242 0.003320 0.005865 0.015974 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001279 0.001644 0.002214 0.003309 0.005962 0.017374 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001216 0.001558 0.002088 0.003096 0.005481 0.015038 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001198 0.001541 0.002078 0.003114 0.005640 0.016750 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001191 0.001541 0.002096 0.003190 0.005982 0.020290 NaN